Policies (contd.)

Slide 9 in this series. 


Total world population is close to 7.6 billion people.  Over the past more than 50 years the countries with the highest growth rates have seen these rates come down by a factor of 2x. 

The peak UN population numbers range from about 10 billion to 11+ billion.   One can estimate that the large number embodies the principle of a lower level economy where "hands in the field" is the dominate predictor of the size of a family. 

Today in modern developed countries, kids are more like luxury goods, and not goods at all, versus having a means of producing more crops.  

The graph below does show the CO2 level track with population.   But remember that correlation is not causation.   Both parameters have been varying closer to a linear curve.  So the conclusions that can be drawn from this curve are not possible.

But this does not stop AGW from making such single variable correlation/causation conclusions.


slide 9 pol

NEXT:  With this increase in population and some contiuned progression to the peak of total population, how does the energy demand change starting with the fuel consumption?


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