GCM Models

Slide 11 in this series. 

 

Another error estimate in the IPCC climate models is below.   Taking an analytical approach to the variability in the radiative forcing, we can see that this estimate is about 20W/m2, or nearly 6 times that which CO2 is estimated to provide with a dounbling of CO2.   If our estimates of the increase in radiative forcing with 2x CO2 of less than 1W/m2 this gets even worse.

 

slide 11 GCM

 

 

NEXT:  We can also look at the ocean cooling or heat  to see how well the models predict this as compared with measured data.

 

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