RCP Cases and how Relevant?
The assumptions for the compute cases RCP are shown at right. They are not in sync with other information on this site in all regards - the amount of CO2 and its impact on climate.
RCP8.5 is listed as business as usual, but it appears more like a horrific set of assumptions from assuming that coal is the primary source of energy and that the population has grown significantly and the GDP has not. This would appear to be a case more likely if the Paris Accord were enacted and the economy was poor, innovation did not happen and the need for a large population was driven by perhaps even an increase in subsidence economies.
The results are at right and require the IPCC models to be correct and CO2 to rise to impossible levels.
We might even with a more business as usual case (large GDP growth and low population growth) be more like the RCP4.5 case.
We should revisit occasionally what the proper role of government is. As the constitution was a good sense of direction, we need a core set of principles to add in order to deal with the future.
So many want to engineer society, remove risk, assist certain groups, rather than let individuals thrive and raise communities. Why?
Is Democracy where we all "get it good and hard" or is it the best means to a free society?
Should we roll with the special interests, or make the government achieve its proper role, what is that role, and how to do this?
When do deficits and governments become too large?
Government is becoming more elitist while trying to sell corrections to problems it created, what makes this possible?
GCM Model Errors estimate of the large error
GCM Model Results The results of the IPCC
GCM do not model Convection Well
Patrick Michaels on GCM Models
