Willie Soon on Sea Level
The video below by Dr Soon is a definitive examination of the sea level data and its measurement accuracy. It is shown that the satellite measurement of sea level is simply not yet possible as an accurate measurement, and the sea direct measurements have their difficulties as well.
It is deduced that an estimate as 4 in per century is amid the likely estimates given the above. To measure the sea level accurately over a century time period it would be necessary to have a wavelength much lower than 1/4 the min accurate distance, and very stable reference points that can both be used to actually measure the distance accurately.
Dr Soon uncovers the inaccuracies in the current measurement schemes. The basic idea of sea level is too complex a subject with today's theory and measurement systems to determine exactly what is the exact data without reproach. The idea of data adjustment of bad data is uncovered.
The various sources of sea level change are many. In the fig below the major contributors are graphically identified.
James Hansen and even Al Gore have not been slowed by the complexity above and the inaccuracies identified to create scary scenarios such as the Floridian peninsula coming under water. The science behind these unfounded predictions is outlined.
The long term sea level variability below shows the variation over thousands of years. We are in a time period that indicates a steady increase in the sea level as a natural phenomena.
The Grace satellite data has been subjected to a most suspect Glacial Isostatic Adjustment. The results indicate a trend that is more agreeable to the AGW cause, but does not answer the question of how accurate and justified is this adjustment?
Looking at GPS measurements and doing a scatter plot against the GIA prediction is not statistically significant.
The IPCC claims of 1.8mm/yr are not founded.
Given the work done by Morner and the various data compilations, the estimate of 4 inches/century has more validity.
Taking specific records from around the world we see that the levels do vary but also are less than 1.2mm/yr. How to draw a general trend from this data is problematic.
The list of variables at each location is an indication of the complexity of this question of sea level.
Dr Soon also makes the point that there is a noticeable amount of water leaking into earth's mantel.
In this hour long video Prof Soon presents his understanding after decades of study. How can the science be so distorted is the bottom line?
We should revisit occasionally what the proper role of government is. As the constitution was a good sense of direction, we need a core set of principles to add in order to deal with the future.
So many want to engineer society, remove risk, assist certain groups, rather than let individuals thrive and raise communities. Why?
Is Democracy where we all "get it good and hard" or is it the best means to a free society?
Should we roll with the special interests, or make the government achieve its proper role, what is that role, and how to do this?
When do deficits and governments become too large?
Government is becoming more elitist while trying to sell corrections to problems it created, what makes this possible?
This could also be inserted into the field above, or erased
Currently as a society, we are having a most difficult time discussing political issues. What is driving this? And why a rebirth in political culture would be a good thing.
Are "markets" dead as some would conjecture? Or is free enterprise what got us here?
At the heart of economics there are several possible economic schools of thought, the essence of these schools of thought and how they relate to our lives.
